Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.499566 2.664096 2.845662 3.063424 3.321131 3.621399 4.005853
2025-05-25 2.312184 2.516592 2.753502 3.054922 3.438981 3.929600 4.639208
2025-06-01 2.179122 2.405066 2.675835 3.035231 3.519756 4.187831 5.270253
2025-06-08 2.073583 2.312202 2.605408 3.007615 3.575462 4.412552 5.927544
2025-06-15 2.013374 2.267605 2.587814 3.042078 3.715825 4.787898 7.025675
2025-06-22 1.907227 2.156735 2.474179 2.930887 3.622829 4.762818 7.319713
2025-06-29 1.852154 2.107395 2.437214 2.922276 3.682765 5.011041 8.413848
2025-07-06 1.781095 2.033079 2.361361 2.849878 3.630308 5.039795 8.968848
2025-07-13 1.758623 2.020948 2.368622 2.899191 3.782571 5.506577 11.534333
2025-07-20 1.752103 2.029084 2.403601 2.992621 4.025318 6.264894 18.178922
2025-07-27 1.719197 1.999557 2.382926 2.996402 4.105678 6.681379 27.369721
2025-08-03 1.694048 1.979290 2.374033 3.017680 4.222344 7.258133 73.118807
2025-08-10 1.641197 1.920137 2.307543 2.942826 4.144569 7.254674 179.265948
2025-08-17 1.608700 1.888056 2.279300 2.929527 4.191371 7.682135 NaN
2025-08-24 1.576615 1.855261 2.248253 2.908837 4.219454 8.074370 NaN
2025-08-31 1.545209 1.822270 2.215313 2.882323 4.231057 8.424893 NaN
2025-09-07 1.530155 1.811733 2.215502 2.913033 4.375688 9.480152 NaN
2025-09-14 1.483940 1.755355 2.143558 2.811352 4.199390 8.904470 NaN
2025-09-21 1.462483 1.733901 2.124495 2.803330 4.244718 9.495523 NaN
2025-09-28 1.428265 1.693249 2.074534 2.737043 4.143109 9.256877 NaN
2025-10-05 1.421783 1.692293 2.085765 2.782120 4.319142 10.794210 NaN
2025-10-12 1.424237 1.704222 2.117437 2.867357 4.618224 14.144344 NaN
2025-10-19 1.408867 1.689546 2.106306 2.870790 4.700471 16.124536 NaN